NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2946f7c6712233a7a2617550c63de8a0417ac5e3dcdceb9e1ce4b21aa83a26d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Timberwolves | 1c | 31,986$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Cavaliers | 64c | 29,393$18,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,683.42 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 40c | 17,509$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,065.1 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 15,429$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 33c | 13,317$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.17 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 6c | 8,366$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.07 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 75c | 8,016$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.51 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Timberwolves | 28c | 8,000$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.61 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Timberwolves | 35c | 7,958$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Cavaliers | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,375$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.48 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 35c | 3,905$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.75 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 3,416$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 3,014$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,949$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 30c | 2,550$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Timberwolves | 18c | 2,470$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 2,363$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 2,098$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.13 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,910$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.19 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,806$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.46 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 11c | 1,703$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,648$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.13 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 1,641$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.52 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,531$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 1,518$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 1,256$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.81 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,238$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,234$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,215$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,200$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 3c | 1,173$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 59c | 1,170$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,104$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.04 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Timberwolves | 2c | 1,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,041$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,028$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.73 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,021$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,020$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…5db7backed Timberwolves | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 61c | 999.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.68 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…9f1dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 999.98$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 988.53$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Cavaliers | 61c | 983.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 71c | 944.99$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 66c | 933.01$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 870$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 36c | 833.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 29c | 824.65$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.15 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 810$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Timberwolves | 30c | 776.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 30c | 771.26$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 770$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Timberwolves | 28c | 770$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Timberwolves | 33c | 722.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Cavaliers | 67c | 716.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 666.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 665.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 657.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 64c | 649.75$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…3cbfbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 607.22$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 70c | 599.97$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.43 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers | 74c | 598.27$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 587.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 583.3$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Cavaliers | 63c | 571.9$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 26c | 530$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 528.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.94 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 2c | 524.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Cavaliers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 499.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cavaliers | 65c | 493.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…d555backed Cavaliers | 76c | 489.91$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Timberwolves | 29c | 476.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Timberwolves | 35c | 419$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 27c | 409.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 406.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Timberwolves | 33c | 396.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 30c | 396$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 33c | 390$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cavaliers | 73c | 369.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 357.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 354.51$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c809backed Cavaliers | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Cavaliers | 73c | 346.58$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Cavaliers | 65c | 344.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 338.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…7240backed Timberwolves | 31c | 322.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Cavaliers | 70c | 315.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…6ef1backed Cavaliers | 69c | 310$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…3773backed Timberwolves | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.