NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c63a2975a38bdc1411f644e3908fdb5cfc98bafcc04cdad303d86b586bbd9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 119,020$79,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,393.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ducks | 39c | 53,737$20,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,957.56 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 25c | 28,802$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.95 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ducks | 27c | 24,263$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.98 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 38c | 8,400$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 7,636$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 5,909$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…38a0backed Ducks | 18c | 4,896$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ducks | 34c | 4,426$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.99 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 19c | 3,645$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.37 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Ducks | 39c | 2,983$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.31 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 2,975$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Ducks | 30c | 2,852$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 39c | 2,697$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 24c | 2,465$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Ducks | 43c | 1,855$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 39c | 1,825$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.71 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,674$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.12 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,578$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,503$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Ducks | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Ducks | 38c | 1,499$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,342$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.22 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,169$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Ducks | 38c | 1,169$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Ducks | 39c | 1,078$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…b126backed Ducks | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…a7a5backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,008$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 899.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 881.01$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.01 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Ducks | 39c | 815$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 815$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…d7b7backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Ducks | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 799.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 768.81$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Ducks | 39c | 734.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 665.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Ducks | 36c | 645.16$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 600.06$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…1fc9backed Ducks | 19c | 591.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 38c | 552$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 502.68$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 77c | 430$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 402.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Maple Leafs | 80c | 389.45$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 39c | 356.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 38c | 351.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Ducks | 40c | 314.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Ducks | 42c | 286$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 261.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Ducks | 41c | 231.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 219.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Ducks | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Ducks | 38c | 177.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 176.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 39c | 173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Ducks | 38c | 166.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…04cdbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Ducks | 40c | 152.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…22b0backed Ducks | 33c | 146$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Ducks | 40c | 144.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Ducks | 38c | 136.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…b645backed Ducks | 40c | 136.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…92a9backed Ducks | 39c | 135.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Ducks | 31c | 128.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Ducks | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Ducks | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…8dc5backed Ducks | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…01e0backed Ducks | 39c | 124.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564d…aef1backed Ducks | 39c | 118.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 116.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…5866backed Ducks | 39c | 116.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Ducks | 43c | 114.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 112.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…d1ddbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 101.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Ducks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…b4debacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 99.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Ducks | 15c | 99.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…4726backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 98.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…f1e0backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 94.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.