TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cubs vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Cubs, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rockies30c83,779$24,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,008.4935952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs70c78,593$54,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,951.812,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs70c27,850$19,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,59638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs67c11,423$7,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,693.2521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies35c10,310$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,709.551,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Rockies30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies30c10,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.9756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs46c9,680$4,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,435.361,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies29c9,050$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.51,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies32c6,878$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.8721740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rockies29c6,264$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,447.248254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs68c4,807$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.9143247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Cubs17c4,708$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.0754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cubs67c4,453$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.036,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs69c3,850$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.51,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Cubs41c2,197$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.456845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Cubs29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rockies31c1,988$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.7231346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1328042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockies30c1,392$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Rockies30c1,390$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9733951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies31c1,360$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Cubs45c1,182$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.36453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Cubs33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36312857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cubs41c1,054$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Cubs29c1,029$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies32c937$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.161,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs68c915.07$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.082,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies31c849.95$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4724547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rockies30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs68c779.31$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.891,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Cubs61c704.25$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5916148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Cubs71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rockies29c680$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.823455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Cubs55c672.42$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.59128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.34per pick42cpaid-84.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies31c577$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies30c561.51$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Rockies33c530.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.35742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cubs68c520$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs40c475.68$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.344,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies31c449.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.491,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Cubs50c433.37$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.121,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Rockies75c406.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Rockies74c384.62$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs67c350$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs24c350$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8318446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ac…2c1abacked Cubs71c338.11$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs19c324.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies44c302.87$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.079,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Cubs27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db8…2d38backed Cubs70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd58e…6712backed Cubs71c282.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies31c274.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies30c273$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.173149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs66c240$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Cubs71c211.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Rockies62c209.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.668453.6%45 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Cubs11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Rockies30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1403455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies65c198.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Cubs69c188.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.884055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed Rockies32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cubs69c186.49$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6831145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Cubs55c183.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs41c173.17$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cubs60c165.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies32c156$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0840144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cubs69c150$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.53,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockies29c147.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.071,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs45c132.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Cubs69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs69c120.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9812558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Cubs69c120$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.812352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cubs69c115.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Cubs69c115.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d61…1808backed Rockies61c114.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2611056.4%62 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Cubs45c105.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.117239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7045732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Cubs69c99.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.664443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs70c94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.847745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Cubs59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14045%18 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockies51c87.67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.938,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Cubs31c80.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0751334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Cubs31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d01…c5abbacked Cubs31c80.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rockies35c76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2815033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Cubs53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs69c75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies58c71.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies29c69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs43c57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Cubs56c53.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309945.5%45 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Rockies42c50.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.082343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.