TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$543,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x799c…bcefbacked Suns33c29,521$9,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,685.0527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Celtics79c24,415$19,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.21457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29b…b635backed Suns36c23,843$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,500450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Suns34c23,255$7,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,988.9637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns21c16,324$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Suns41c14,000$5,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,74019149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics68c13,718$9,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.4410533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns27c13,262$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.4930826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Celtics64c12,000$7,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics64c10,300$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,752.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Celtics67c9,610$6,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.6948046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns32c8,528$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.611,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Celtics74c8,463$6,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.7928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics61c8,402$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.411,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Celtics67c8,191$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.3925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics66c8,172$5,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.4566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Suns6c7,130$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39726431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns5c7,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Celtics65c6,923$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.0810541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Suns38c6,808$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.1236247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Celtics64c6,627$4,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.3133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Suns3c6,600$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22620031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Celtics62c6,422$3,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.366253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Suns1c5,742$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9429450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Suns38c4,924$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.6280146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns21c4,567$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics78c4,553$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.1517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns35c4,436$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.6720238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Suns35c4,300$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.9661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns20c4,011$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.0827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Celtics66c3,952$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.0929957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed Suns32c3,917$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Suns36c3,896$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.5928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Suns15c3,857$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.4329738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Celtics78c3,383$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.6522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns15c3,356$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.411,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Suns35c3,044$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.6837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Celtics62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…d4f3backed Celtics65c2,916$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Celtics67c2,707$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.1946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns24c2,679$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Celtics68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics59c2,500$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.481,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Suns32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9346928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics66c2,380$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.0159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Suns38c2,232$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.3410643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Suns35c2,200$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77022955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Suns1c2,095$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Celtics66c2,045$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Suns1c2,029$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1337627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Celtics67c1,945$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.6727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…2e0dbacked Celtics67c1,872$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Suns38c1,844$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.5827840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Celtics68c1,811$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Celtics62c1,703$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…cd8cbacked Suns38c1,700$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6461266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Suns15c1,682$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.456841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Suns8c1,650$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13713731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…c635backed Celtics68c1,650$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics61c1,645$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Celtics65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Celtics66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.156435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Suns38c1,480$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3910428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…2c7ebacked Celtics68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics75c1,451$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7666744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics64c1,424$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.5273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Suns32c1,346$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…9667backed Celtics68c1,340$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Celtics66c1,300$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3072…86b6backed Celtics65c1,250$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+88.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Suns40c1,243$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Celtics69c1,128$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.827451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns38c1,120$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Suns3c1,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Suns38c1,070$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4127851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns27c1,022$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Suns32c1,016$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Suns5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Celtics62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Suns44c974.82$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.5220553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Suns31c970$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Suns35c943.99$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns20c935.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.061,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics68c923$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.3657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccd…0953backed Celtics68c913.66$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns35c858.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3938027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Celtics61c826.93$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.511654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Suns32c813.14$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Celtics72c790$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Suns38c786.61$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9114150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics66c726.06$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7c…43a5backed Celtics80c718.34$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.674969.4%34 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Celtics59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28734644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Celtics68c699.09$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.712661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Celtics77c666$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1810244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Celtics72c665.78$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4936356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Suns6c650$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.