MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bcf37beab017bbef2aa89ca20b26f6978224ca3c78249f7e7327ac295f81140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Rockies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Pirates | 68c | 164,645$111,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,146.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 32c | 125,920$40,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,294.42 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 33c | 23,230$7,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies | 32c | 18,369$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.93 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 64c | 17,684$11,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rockies | 33c | 17,406$5,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,743.98 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 66c | 8,978$5,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.66 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rockies | 34c | 8,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…5688backed Rockies | 36c | 8,583$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 35c | 5,157$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.12 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rockies | 39c | 5,051$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.53 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Rockies | 36c | 5,023$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 65c | 4,730$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rockies | 32c | 4,389$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.61 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Pirates | 64c | 3,422$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.23 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Rockies | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Pirates | 64c | 3,263$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 70c | 3,241$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 35c | 2,921$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c81dbacked Pirates | 68c | 2,764$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockies | 35c | 2,586$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.1 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Rockies | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.1 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Rockies | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed Pirates | 66c | 1,943$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Pirates | 67c | 1,816$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Rockies | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 36c | 1,351$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.36 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rockies | 33c | 1,323$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 36c | 1,259$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rockies | 4c | 1,007$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pirates | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 21c | 963.44$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…c518backed Pirates | 68c | 918.85$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies | 37c | 902.76$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.77 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Pirates | 68c | 899.51$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed Pirates | 68c | 881.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 36c | 871$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.56 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 65c | 857$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pirates | 62c | 843.98$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockies | 35c | 835.66$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 34c | 811.56$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 37c | 810$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rockies | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies | 35c | 749.96$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 36c | 724.35$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379c…6f54backed Pirates | 64c | 703$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…361cbacked Pirates | 64c | 686$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Pirates | 63c | 641.86$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Pirates | 63c | 593.84$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 36c | 582$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 62c | 576.72$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 68c | 545.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockies | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Pirates | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 35c | 492.6$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Pirates | 65c | 461.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Rockies | 36c | 455.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 17c | 449.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Pirates | 68c | 448.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 66c | 422.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 14c | 395.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Pirates | 63c | 381$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockies | 35c | 346.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 63c | 330.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 34c | 321.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 31c | 313.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Pirates | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Rockies | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Rockies | 37c | 293.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 35c | 286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…4aa4backed Rockies | 7c | 283.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 11c | 283.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 68c | 277.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Pirates | 63c | 262.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 64c | 259.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Rockies | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rockies | 36c | 207.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Pirates | 67c | 194.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4f…a90bbacked Rockies | 22c | 193$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Pirates | 64c | 187.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rockies | 38c | 168.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Pirates | 59c | 166.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rockies | 36c | 155.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies | 35c | 154.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Pirates | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Pirates | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Pirates | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rockies | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 70c | 124.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies | 33c | 115.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rockies | 35c | 111$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rockies | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pirates | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Piratesthis page
- Rockies vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Pirates (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.