Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat AS Roma?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e402ba5d41722804e206e27bb5a2c4119af38bec52f877d68584f412fbc25df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 35c | 5,617$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.19 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed No | 38c | 4,474$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 2,024$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.43 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 58c | 1,913$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 66c | 1,875$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.37 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,169$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.64 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 66c | 955.74$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 37c | 927.76$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 798.56$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 63c | 793.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 2c | 642.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 595.68$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.17 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed No | 37c | 537.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 41c | 374.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.98 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 59c | 219.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 60c | 201.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked No | 30c | 174.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed Yes | 59c | 170.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…f169backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…c75ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 60c | 168.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…e85bbacked Yes | 61c | 164.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 67c | 160.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 36c | 156$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 57c | 151.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 58c | 141.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 130.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 41c | 125.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 59c | 112.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed No | 43c | 111.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…ea8ebacked Yes | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…fe8cbacked No | 43c | 98.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 58c | 97.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 60c | 91.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…da05backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…b502backed Yes | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a7…ebdfbacked No | 41c | 55.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…99eabacked Yes | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a54…953abacked Yes | 59c | 51.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 58c | 42.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…3808backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…cefbbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…487cbacked Yes | 58c | 31.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…7930backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…1183backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…dc36backed Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat AS Roma?this page
- Will AS Roma beat Tottenham?No won
- Will the match between Tottenham and AS Roma end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.