Chess · resolved market
World Chess Championship - Game 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3f7d24fcadce89348b85aef8df4949a39bf16a0743be4b207ca3829031cbed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gukeshof Ding, Gukesh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b4…6ab9backed Ding | 53c | 17,552$9,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,290.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…8541backed Gukesh | 50c | 16,759$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,412.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…e4b3backed Ding | 28c | 9,327$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Ding | 44c | 8,297$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Gukesh | 66c | 7,505$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Gukesh | 58c | 5,852$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gukesh | 59c | 5,504$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Ding | 10c | 4,345$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Ding | 34c | 3,238$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.52 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ding | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Gukesh | 51c | 1,972$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Ding | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Ding | 43c | 1,407$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ding | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Gukesh | 67c | 1,128$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Gukesh | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Ding | 6c | 1,091$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Ding | 23c | 1,058$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ding | 8c | 1,032$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Gukesh | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…f755backed Ding | 10c | 933.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Gukesh | 55c | 880$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked Gukesh | 69c | 865.71$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ding | 42c | 755.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…6ee4backed Ding | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…f2e1backed Gukesh | 58c | 665.88$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Ding | 49c | 615.22$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…f83bbacked Gukesh | 52c | 599.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Ding | 44c | 519.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Gukesh | 71c | 510.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Gukesh | 59c | 505.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…6bdebacked Ding | 37c | 503.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…db2ebacked Ding | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Ding | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Ding | 42c | 427.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…7dc6backed Ding | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…bae5backed Ding | 43c | 359.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Ding | 6c | 355.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Gukesh | 57c | 349.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Ding | 58c | 345.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…d1b2backed Gukesh | 62c | 322.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…3d8abacked Gukesh | 61c | 322.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…06b7backed Ding | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Ding | 21c | 256.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Gukesh | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Ding | 12c | 229.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Gukesh | 55c | 217.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Gukesh | 59c | 209.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…dd3abacked Ding | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…93e2backed Ding | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Ding | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Ding | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Ding | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Ding | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…9686backed Ding | 39c | 183.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…a2d0backed Ding | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Ding | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…9eadbacked Gukesh | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Ding | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…0f2cbacked Ding | 32c | 171.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…9b7dbacked Gukesh | 59c | 169.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Ding | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Ding | 45c | 156.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…e5d9backed Ding | 44c | 155.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…9a20backed Gukesh | 70c | 145.76$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Gukesh | 70c | 129.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Ding | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…8306backed Ding | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…3913backed Ding | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…21c9backed Ding | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Ding | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b3…cb73backed Gukesh | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…1134backed Gukesh | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed Gukesh | 80c | 83.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…c0c4backed Ding | 19c | 83.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Gukesh | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Ding | 41c | 74.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Ding | 42c | 64.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Gukesh | 64c | 50.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked Gukesh | 79c | 50.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…feacbacked Ding | 44c | 45.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…3666backed Ding | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb220…5f71backed Gukesh | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f6…edf1backed Ding | 43c | 38.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…8a16backed Ding | 35c | 37.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Ding | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Gukesh | 59c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Gukesh | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…03c5backed Ding | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…3452backed Ding | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1545…e2b2backed Ding | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f8…b372backed Ding | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.