Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio beat Ludogorets?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfab60eeee86594c65aa2bcdf0d02a70a8919ad08185cbeee8f6140634a4883f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 24c | 6,461$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.87 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 34c | 5,371$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.62 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 52c | 3,835$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 75c | 2,309$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.64 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,050$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 74c | 984.73$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 73c | 805$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed No | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 65c | 769.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 75c | 474.67$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 75c | 460.85$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 42c | 423.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.37 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 63c | 422.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 73c | 300$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…7e85backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d42…7214backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…b8fdbacked No | 74c | 182.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 176.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Yes | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…8d71backed Yes | 73c | 143.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e030backed Yes | 73c | 117.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cbfabacked Yes | 76c | 115.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 76c | 101.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…e210backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…5008backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…7b46backed No | 26c | 68.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 76c | 68.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 26c | 67.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 76c | 62.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…1904backed Yes | 75c | 59.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…e595backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…710bbacked Yes | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed No | 25c | 44.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…dd4fbacked Yes | 77c | 44.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…9803backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 76c | 28.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd56…aae3backed Yes | 75c | 28.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 77c | 26.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 64c | 23.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd1…759fbacked Yes | 76c | 20.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…3468backed Yes | 76c | 20.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…64eabacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio beat Ludogorets?this page
- Will Ludogorets beat Lazio?No won
- Will the match between Lazio and Ludogorets end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.