TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham win on 2024-12-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31cf…8834backed No61c5,055$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.489037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20c…42f0backed Yes1c4,189$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes41c4,048$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.753666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No59c4,034$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.0540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes25c3,207$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No76c2,946$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6211657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0257651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0251723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes37c1,813$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.523333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No63c1,005$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No59c999.97$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.998145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No59c999.95$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.986959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No59c795.34$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.98362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked No58c773.6$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.912157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes41c738.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No60c692.88$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes41c676$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.165641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No79c527.39$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes19c510.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18929238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Yes40c378.18$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Yes17c375.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.895050%25 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes28c282.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes17c226.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes21c198.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed Yes18c198.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.712846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed No72c195$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5215554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f2…2f53backed Yes36c179.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes28c178.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf244…4cd5backed Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc037…6f38backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d8…7359backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed No59c99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.594537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea8…bdfbbacked Yes41c87.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed No64c78.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.442458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f96…a645backed Yes17c77.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-80.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf007…10b4backed No59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked No61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.39747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b08…e658backed No60c65.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c49…3769backed Yes41c53.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaea…2438backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes32c47.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf82…a951backed No61c46.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cd…9179backed Yes40c44.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes41c43.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e2c…097dbacked Yes40c39.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecd…cdb8backed Yes40c38.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf645…024fbacked No60c38.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…2056backed Yes39c37.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca1…35b3backed No61c37.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dca…2978backed Yes39c35.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No59c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e90…9ce3backed No60c33.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6080…9019backed No60c33.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdef8…6583backed Yes40c33.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…2b68backed Yes40c32.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4a…f7d6backed Yes40c32.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-77.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0351…fcf8backed Yes40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…a6f8backed No60c28.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb4…6681backed Yes40c28.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc142…feefbacked No62c28.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a74…141abacked No60c28.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b17…d4bbbacked Yes41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e7…1bccbacked Yes41c26.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes39c26.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes41c26.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.787441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked No60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd1…c363backed Yes40c25.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bc…8c15backed No61c25.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.021450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a6…c982backed Yes40c25.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd629…58cbbacked No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7449…cefbbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74ab…03c3backed No61c24.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daf…17e3backed No61c24.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeda…b6eebacked No60c23.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…2689backed No60c23.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…6eddbacked No60c19.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x909f…e6c5backed No60c19.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fb…d465backed No60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fee…dd87backed No60c16.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.