Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace43399e495be7791fc2bdcfdc6d98ef21dfef367f52e0351d5eac47f0f9711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 11c | 6,796$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.42 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked No | 47c | 2,164$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.12 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 68c | 1,319$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.15 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 1,179$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 53c | 1,074$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.37 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 32c | 999.92$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 68c | 988.15$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 783.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7d97backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 31c | 670.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.96 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 52c | 664.57$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.57 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 32c | 650$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 47c | 638.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 79c | 539.43$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 76c | 493.36$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 29c | 438.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 399$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed No | 68c | 374.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 33c | 358.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 74c | 277.23$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 66c | 262$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 66c | 211.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed No | 49c | 203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…d905backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…deb3backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 76c | 159$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 44c | 157.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 46c | 138.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed Yes | 33c | 112.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed No | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 68c | 103.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…b635backed No | 68c | 68.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked No | 52c | 67.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 76c | 51.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 66c | 46.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 28c | 44.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Yes | 50c | 44.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc692…188cbacked No | 67c | 38.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…eef5backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…9f64backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…4763backed Yes | 57c | 28.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked No | 50c | 23.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes | 59c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…27c1backed No | 67c | 20.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03?this page
- Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.