Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f52542ab07c23985f900090ef14ec80db086ff9a8831fa623f0d9fd826d8301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99cf…786dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,017$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 29c | 886.19$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 72c | 840.64$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.89 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 71c | 727.78$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 70c | 556.34$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed No | 72c | 548.82$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Yes | 10c | 525$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Yes | 32c | 508.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 13c | 403.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 393.49$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…ee71backed No | 73c | 358.9$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 28c | 189.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 10c | 155.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 27c | 90.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 64.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…95b6backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 72c | 50.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f194backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 29c | 38.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed Yes | 29c | 34.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 71c | 33.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…de78backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 73c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-03?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.