NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cca5ecbc680953afee726af65038dc35a6f554743c35cf8103a0f07c8da83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Celtics, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Celtics | 54c | 10,372$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 7,447$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.92 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 33c | 6,811$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,991$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.2 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,935$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Celtics | 54c | 4,913$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.07 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 4,799$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.65 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Celtics | 46c | 4,201$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.55 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…6bdcbacked Celtics | 36c | 3,201$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.6 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,142$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.87 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Celtics | 53c | 2,716$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.01 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,648$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.92 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,622$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 59c | 2,318$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.15 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…9604backed Celtics | 2c | 2,042$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 11c | 2,010$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Celtics | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.98 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Celtics | 25c | 1,969$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.29 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Cavaliers | 42c | 1,908$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.23 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Celtics | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Celtics | 50c | 1,843$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,800$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Celtics | 53c | 1,722$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,600$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.13 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Celtics | 40c | 1,570$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Celtics | 53c | 1,451$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Celtics | 12c | 1,336$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Celtics | 10c | 1,145$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,056$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,033$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.51 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Celtics | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Celtics | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Celtics | 52c | 999.94$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…a8e9backed Celtics | 49c | 974.37$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 973.91$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Cavaliers | 10c | 917.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.11 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Celtics | 50c | 911.1$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 894.03$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.75 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…097cbacked Celtics | 53c | 892.36$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Cavaliers | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 857.05$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Celtics | 69c | 811.26$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.79 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Celtics | 54c | 800$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 25c | 798.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 52c | 789.82$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.71 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 722.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.45 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…1df5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 639.95$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Celtics | 66c | 626.39$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.03 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Celtics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 586.42$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers | 25c | 580.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…3453backed Celtics | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Cavaliers | 47c | 552.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Cavaliers | 55c | 548.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Celtics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Celtics | 4c | 496$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Celtics | 4c | 495.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa441…dedebacked Cavaliers | 14c | 480.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Cavaliers | 59c | 478.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Celtics | 43c | 461.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed Cavaliers | 60c | 457.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +131%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 450.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…41a9backed Celtics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Celtics | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Cavaliers | 60c | 332.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 331.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Celtics | 50c | 331.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Celtics | 52c | 319.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Celtics | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Celtics | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Celtics | 46c | 295.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Celtics | 73c | 269.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Cavaliers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 70c | 261.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Celtics | 43c | 255.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Celtics | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Celtics | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Celtics | 54c | 244.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Celtics | 53c | 241.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 230.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 229.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Celtics | 49c | 221.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Cavaliers | 47c | 221.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Celtics | 41c | 220$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Celtics | 7c | 217.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Celtics | 53c | 209.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Celtics | 44c | 209$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Celtics | 31c | 203.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Celtics | 40c | 201.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Celtics | 50c | 200.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.