Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e69530cdde5760bca23113650923ac078b675a96339a0c2205ae264cd18d92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 72c | 675.58$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.15 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 587.84$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.82 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 51c | 584.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 35c | 423.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed No | 70c | 258.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 248.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 61c | 231.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 164.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…bcc0backed Yes | 34c | 85.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 29c | 69.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?this page
- Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?No won
- Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.