Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1965544e5c50e6c69c3cd3128a9ed4cb9028aeee845d8e438b6c12fc73a559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 47c | 22,478$10,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 57c | 13,671$7,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.01 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 54c | 10,201$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.89 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 58c | 2,510$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,247$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 54c | 1,094$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.28 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 26c | 1,089$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 940.62$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 814.27$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 54c | 799.96$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 52c | 791.09$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.72 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…36b4backed Yes | 17c | 601.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 54c | 565$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 434.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 23c | 427.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 380.92$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 47c | 340.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…b55cbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 318$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 53c | 284$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 40c | 243.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…e760backed Yes | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 45c | 221.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 46c | 219.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…1464backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 34c | 163.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…cc80backed Yes | 41c | 147.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 54c | 128.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…aeb6backed Yes | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 108.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 46c | 104.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 48c | 100.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 86.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 46c | 85.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…3924backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 46c | 75.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked No | 77c | 73.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Yes | 46c | 67.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 35c | 62.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 41c | 53.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…ea7bbacked No | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…6376backed Yes | 48c | 49.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…bcc0backed Yes | 48c | 46.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…7690backed Yes | 45c | 45.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…bf99backed Yes | 38c | 44.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…275ebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…01c4backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e09…fd64backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…9fe8backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed No | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 41c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…bda6backed Yes | 46c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar beat Galatasaray?No won
- Will the match between AZ Alkmaar and Galatasaray end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.