TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50e5…e39fbacked No1c16,938$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes67c12,687$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.571526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No33c10,706$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.9722744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No34c5,527$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.440254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No32c4,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.978750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No33c3,500$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9715337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed Yes67c3,455$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No36c2,750$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.4968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed No33c2,207$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes68c2,200$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7043842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No31c1,849$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.114659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No35c1,677$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0822050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Yes69c1,602$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+123.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Yes67c1,583$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.341741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed No32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes65c1,455$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.955141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fb…3bdfbacked No2c1,304$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked No33c1,252$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+221.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes63c1,210$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.882142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No33c1,200$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0317837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No18c1,199$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No34c1,160$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.285653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No34c1,003$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.013447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes67c939.88$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.452828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0585…cfccbacked Yes65c926.94$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No32c913.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3829751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No6c849.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No26c799.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes68c748.51$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No13c732.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Yes68c713.51$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316959.4%41 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes66c693.06$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.693345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9d…df7fbacked No4c587.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.712748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed No33c570.75$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked No39c554.92$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.423141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes64c549.63$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes65c532.61$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes68c530$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1657651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec76…1036backed Yes76c487.86$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes68c470.8$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes69c431.22$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.683666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bb…b3b7backed No3c416.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x953a…9dedbacked No6c399.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Yes68c394.81$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.341050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No31c391.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No21c388.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.897968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf26b…decdbacked No7c386.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…4257backed No3c355.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No32c340$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.856453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b28…6a18backed No4c338.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa13a…2252backed No7c331.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce51…df36backed Yes63c308.21$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Yes68c307.87$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.521968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5990…3b46backed No5c299.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3345…d3d6backed No7c298.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3671…e543backed No6c290.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c92…0adfbacked No4c280.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed No38c279.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.153826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes76c275.51$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7311657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No37c265.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1917143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes67c254.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…9a15backed Yes62c247.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7237…4fd0backed No10c243.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a2…7e2fbacked No13c237.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b2…9c5bbacked No9c225.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53e…91b0backed Yes68c219.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b2…841cbacked No8c215.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadf…9abebacked No11c211.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No32c210.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.583551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No21c198.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.377343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9914…cef0backed No10c198$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes68c193.86$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes67c187.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes68c186.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5918433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ec…1282backed No6c185.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes67c182.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0924630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c1…d67cbacked No13c182.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edb…5641backed No14c180.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x395b…b370backed No13c180.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Yes68c176.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…639bbacked No8c171.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes67c170$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.14742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes68c162.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.025726.3%15 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08ca…57f2backed No7c160.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09e…29b0backed No8c158.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1a…88c8backed Yes63c157.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f58…4138backed Yes63c157.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.