Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa86916b140698d83988f3cffa80f1b3c94dcb5d3e573281ab74d297dc63436eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,066$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.58 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 14c | 2,600$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 12c | 1,783$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…0a84backed Yes | 13c | 1,313$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 13c | 833$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 13c | 402$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 13c | 335.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…a3eebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 12c | 291.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 8c | 266.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 12c | 263.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 15c | 210.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 12c | 208.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 14c | 195.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…0898backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…e8fabacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…ffd4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 16c | 92.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…bb19backed Yes | 17c | 89.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adf…8895backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…55c1backed Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb498…335bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?Yes won
- Will Leicester vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.