Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354000748b08a79c77afc332c5c7d1e71046aac8e9d47abde7f6630589e36850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed No | 57c | 19,740$11,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 79c | 16,841$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,289 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 26c | 10,595$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,838.93 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 41c | 8,522$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 29c | 6,639$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.92 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Yes | 69c | 5,999$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 25c | 5,549$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.92 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 39c | 4,980$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 40c | 4,549$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…0781backed Yes | 46c | 3,739$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 40c | 3,725$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 60c | 3,667$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 61c | 3,295$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 60c | 3,209$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.88 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 71c | 2,541$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.1 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked No | 20c | 2,347$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 40c | 2,323$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 41c | 2,042$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.02 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 39c | 2,000$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.92 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.11 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…4761backed Yes | 54c | 1,849$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 1,778$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.12 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 41c | 1,577$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.14 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…8079backed Yes | 47c | 1,536$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 59c | 1,265$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 61c | 1,201$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 63c | 1,180$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,178$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.9 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…cfccbacked Yes | 60c | 916.67$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 40c | 884.44$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.77 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 33c | 831.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.31 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…8b52backed Yes | 61c | 820.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 39c | 816.88$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 60c | 724.89$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 59c | 718.64$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 62c | 696.76$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 47c | 684.62$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked No | 42c | 662.71$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…063cbacked Yes | 35c | 662.02$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed Yes | 58c | 590.47$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 61c | 573.74$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 39c | 550$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 547.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 59c | 540$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…e603backed Yes | 60c | 508.65$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…d708backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 55c | 494.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 61c | 493.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…75b7backed Yes | 62c | 479.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 39c | 477.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.14 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 461$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 60c | 458.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…9c51backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 40c | 439.06$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.44 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 58c | 435.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.38 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 60c | 426.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 61c | 379.05$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.22 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…d43ebacked Yes | 71c | 355.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 47c | 330.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 58c | 315.05$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 80c | 313$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 42c | 310.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 61c | 278.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 39c | 253.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 55c | 252.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…7936backed Yes | 61c | 251.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…b9bcbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 60c | 246.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 60c | 245.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 60c | 243.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…3344backed Yes | 42c | 238.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed Yes | 58c | 227.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…4a16backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 68c | 220.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…bcc0backed Yes | 63c | 216.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 37c | 214.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 52c | 209.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…6f38backed Yes | 61c | 197.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…64a4backed Yes | 59c | 184.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…b9f4backed Yes | 60c | 184.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…a0dabacked Yes | 47c | 184.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.