Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3072fb54940562bc810662b8db3134faaa5427b7e80d603b50312bd284e8b4f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 4,015$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.93 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,288$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,074$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.52 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 19c | 1,502$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 17c | 1,247$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.53 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 15c | 859.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Yes | 11c | 655.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 22c | 522.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Yes | 12c | 503.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes | 20c | 474.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…fe74backed No | 80c | 474.87$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked Yes | 18c | 379.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 80c | 313.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 7c | 279.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…5961backed Yes | 21c | 244.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 5c | 244.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Yes | 19c | 222.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 17c | 221.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 173.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 21c | 166.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 17c | 154.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…818ebacked Yes | 24c | 140.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 133.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 19c | 120.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…99a4backed Yes | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…be6cbacked Yes | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccb…a425backed Yes | 19c | 82.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 17c | 81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 19c | 78.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 21c | 67.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccd…855dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…c638backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.