Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x133e4744717c5fe957b8fc0d0bcd7951117cf02e4802521d2bf5248118ecb5bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 5,254$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.14 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 42c | 4,374$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.43 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 39c | 1,475$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 22c | 1,448$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.92 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 75c | 1,083$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 24c | 1,033$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.23 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 63c | 695.7$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 12c | 681.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 25c | 636$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 76c | 625.8$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.61 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 76c | 524.51$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 25c | 429.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 48c | 413.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 67c | 329.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yes | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 76c | 308.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.33 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 51c | 291.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed Yes | 73c | 242.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked No | 32c | 220.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 77c | 203.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…0465backed No | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…5961backed Yes | 37c | 117.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Yes | 24c | 110.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 62c | 102.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed No | 77c | 100.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 76c | 71.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked No | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 36c | 55.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…55d7backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 24c | 42.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 29c | 37.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…4763backed Yes | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5606…49d5backed No | 78c | 14.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…48cdbacked No | 77c | 13.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?No won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.