Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24f9951453160fa83fdcaa4ccbb812ef327eaff8fe4fdf485ff14ca71bf16ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,225$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.12 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 70c | 2,548$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.83 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 16c | 2,455$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.43 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 10c | 2,079$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.34 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 32c | 999.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 31c | 999.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 16c | 569.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 71c | 514.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…342ebacked Yes | 69c | 505.75$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 43c | 410.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 15c | 363$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 299.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 31c | 249.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 30c | 203.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…003fbacked No | 52c | 192.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 175.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 69c | 144.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 30c | 128.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…5008backed Yes | 71c | 91.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Yes | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 69c | 79.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Yes | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 31c | 72.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…57f6backed Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +457.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a52…7ccfbacked Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked No | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…8d55backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 40c | 39.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…1183backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…b099backed Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV beat Shakhtar Donetsk?this page
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat PSV?No won
- Will the match between PSV and Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.