Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2952122167b52b324a4019d29482f43a9c09229dca692be86e10972bcf05fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 40c | 17,662$7,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.15 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 37c | 5,523$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.15 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,690$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.85 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 60c | 3,393$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 63c | 2,857$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 39c | 2,720$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.37 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 60c | 2,167$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.67 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 38c | 2,160$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.61 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 37c | 1,485$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.29 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 36c | 1,251$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.44 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 1,194$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.65 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,194$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 62c | 1,008$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 60c | 733$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 60c | 705.14$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.06 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 63c | 654.59$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 66c | 641.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…4fc0backed Yes | 61c | 600.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 62c | 569.44$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 62c | 539.18$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed No | 41c | 515.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…7953backed Yes | 61c | 491.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 63c | 462.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 450.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 35c | 438.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 61c | 433$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 38c | 427.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 38c | 425.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Yes | 62c | 379$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…08a2backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…e681backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 61c | 278$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…8eafbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed No | 41c | 239.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 40c | 233.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…71e0backed Yes | 61c | 221.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 62c | 208.43$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 61c | 205$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…61cdbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 33c | 196.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…f3a9backed Yes | 61c | 193$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 62c | 184.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 62c | 180$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…9878backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 37c | 161$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…06d3backed Yes | 62c | 160.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…8444backed Yes | 62c | 151.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…c2c0backed Yes | 61c | 133.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 65c | 123$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 62c | 119.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…b821backed Yes | 64c | 109.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…103abacked Yes | 63c | 103.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 64c | 99.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 64c | 99.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 62c | 98.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…da05backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f966backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed No | 40c | 69.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 65c | 66.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 63c | 65.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 61c | 65.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 62c | 64.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…ca74backed Yes | 64c | 62.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…c784backed Yes | 64c | 54.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 58c | 52.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 45c | 51.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-01?No won
- Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.