Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ab1fe5a0bbfab5ce34b184e56c4201cec5a2c48da43fcc5156b78233bf5a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 24c | 86,056$20,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,727.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 79c | 22,785$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.81 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 9,329$7,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.98 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 7c | 6,598$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.05 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 4,184$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.07 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 72c | 2,170$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…16b0backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 1,548$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 17c | 1,364$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 17c | 806.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…6cdabacked Yes | 15c | 763.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes | 22c | 690$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…b364backed Yes | 16c | 617.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 255.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 14c | 161.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 17c | 130.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…dde1backed Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cab…f4ecbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Yes | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…1a8abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…103abacked Yes | 16c | 93.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…c096backed Yes | 17c | 88.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 64.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-01?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.