NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0538d88e5c4bdd9bfaadc67d26f6cf54db40a29fdbfb0e5dbf9b0fbad5d7e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Nuggets | 45c | 8,684$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.25 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Nuggets | 35c | 7,814$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.43 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 7,147$4,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 7,122$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.82 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Grizzlies | 43c | 6,686$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 6,211$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.87 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Grizzlies | 29c | 6,000$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 5,404$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.61 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 5,297$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 4,573$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.18 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Grizzlies | 6c | 4,549$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Grizzlies | 10c | 4,093$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.49 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 3,570$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…c956backed Nuggets | 74c | 3,301$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.91 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Nuggets | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,702$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,529$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.85 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Nuggets | 34c | 2,397$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Nuggets | 38c | 2,026$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 1,855$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.31 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 1,550$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,270$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Grizzlies | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,171$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,106$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…bfb2backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,086$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,022$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 34c | 1,001$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.78 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Grizzlies | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 990.85$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Nuggets | 21c | 981.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.59 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 38c | 973.34$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.47 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Nuggets | 37c | 943.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.5 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 45c | 899.3$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.03 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nuggets | 34c | 822.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…220cbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 750.37$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nuggets | 47c | 740.61$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 717.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Grizzlies | 9c | 691.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Grizzlies | 33c | 685$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Nuggets | 39c | 640.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.49 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 35c | 637.85$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Grizzlies | 6c | 637.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 40c | 628.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.64 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 611.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Grizzlies | 12c | 596.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Grizzlies | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 52c | 557.08$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Nuggets | 33c | 556.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Nuggets | 48c | 520.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Nuggets | 39c | 513.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Nuggets | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed Nuggets | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Grizzlies | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Grizzlies | 65c | 492.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Nuggets | 63c | 440.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 7c | 405.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Nuggets | 38c | 349.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…ad90backed Nuggets | 39c | 346.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…50dabacked Grizzlies | 62c | 345.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1272backed Nuggets | 39c | 325.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c192backed Grizzlies | 62c | 325$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Grizzlies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 319.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Nuggets | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Grizzlies | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Grizzlies | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Grizzlies | 15c | 296.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d5…9ae8backed Grizzlies | 65c | 290.08$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…5105backed Grizzlies | 12c | 262.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Nuggets | 39c | 256.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Grizzlies | 60c | 241.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 70c | 239.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…8f3fbacked Nuggets | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Nuggets | 39c | 222$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Grizzlies | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Nuggets | 43c | 214.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc51…4287backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Nuggets | 48c | 210.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Grizzlies | 52c | 210.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 204.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Nuggets | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…d785backed Nuggets | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Grizzlies | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Grizzlies | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Grizzlies | 31c | 194.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 184.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.