NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8077a95b2404fb5c05a06546867c07b16b2902935e5aa731f1ef76915051949c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bulls, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Bucks | 75c | 11,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Bulls | 12c | 9,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 10c | 6,659$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.57 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Bulls | 2c | 5,667$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bulls | 3c | 5,664$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks | 76c | 5,284$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.1 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 4c | 5,108$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 25c | 4,640$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.93 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 74c | 3,820$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.71 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…2beabacked Bulls | 18c | 3,500$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…ef3bbacked Bulls | 12c | 3,200$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Bucks | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks | 76c | 2,100$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.66 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 19c | 2,088$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.92 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Bulls | 14c | 2,086$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Bulls | 28c | 1,914$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Bucks | 75c | 1,913$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bulls | 16c | 1,905$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…5dffbacked Bulls | 26c | 1,801$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Bulls | 24c | 1,769$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.84 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bulls | 9c | 1,660$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Bulls | 25c | 1,566$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.86 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Bucks | 75c | 1,545$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Bulls | 13c | 1,542$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Bulls | 18c | 1,490$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.23 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…2a58backed Bulls | 1c | 1,391$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…43d5backed Bulls | 1c | 1,374$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Bucks | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770d…04f7backed Bulls | 1c | 1,317$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…0974backed Bucks | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…b54fbacked Bulls | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls | 14c | 1,159$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…1993backed Bulls | 1c | 1,153$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…e5c0backed Bulls | 1c | 1,150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…174dbacked Bulls | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…d595backed Bulls | 1c | 1,067$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bulls | 12c | 1,063$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 75c | 1,030$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 79c | 1,005$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Bulls | 27c | 1,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.33 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Bucks | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Bulls | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Bulls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Bulls | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…c5e2backed Bulls | 1c | 913.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Bulls | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bucks | 76c | 899.96$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Bulls | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…e1a5backed Bulls | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…13a8backed Bulls | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…9ba8backed Bulls | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Bulls | 24c | 799.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks | 70c | 708.84$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Bucks | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Bulls | 13c | 700$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…baf1backed Bulls | 2c | 693.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Bulls | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Bulls | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Bulls | 22c | 550$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Bulls | 24c | 547.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…acd7backed Bucks | 75c | 545.73$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Bulls | 25c | 538.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Bulls | 26c | 533.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…c517backed Bucks | 75c | 532.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Bulls | 26c | 502.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Bulls | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Bulls | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Bulls | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed Bulls | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bucks | 74c | 499.9$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…90a3backed Bulls | 26c | 490$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Bulls | 22c | 452.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Bucks | 75c | 429.68$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Bulls | 26c | 420.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Bulls | 20c | 415$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Bulls | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed Bucks | 75c | 399.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…62a9backed Bulls | 13c | 398.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Bulls | 25c | 396.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Bucks | 74c | 390$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5fe9backed Bucks | 75c | 381.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Bulls | 21c | 366.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Bucks | 74c | 354.8$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bucks | 73c | 349.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…10cbbacked Bucks | 75c | 343.33$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…f98cbacked Bulls | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Bulls | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Bulls | 24c | 325$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Bucks | 74c | 323.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…893ebacked Bulls | 5c | 320.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Bulls | 24c | 320$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.