NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b500922973e0f3d0e8695121f329a0094929eade722c222cc799960b3386c0f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Nuggets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Nov 17, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $146,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,749 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies	75c	33,404$25,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,339.28	476	56.5%269 W · 207 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Nuggets	11c	28,705$3,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,094.98	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nuggets	3c	15,041$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.28	183	16.9%31 W · 152 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Nuggets	35c	7,705$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+13.2wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7784…b6ccbacked Nuggets	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…894bbacked Grizzlies	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets	3c	4,060$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.03	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	337	52.5%177 W · 160 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Nuggets	6c	2,956$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.38	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Nuggets	3c	2,929$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.55	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nuggets	1c	2,608$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.43	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Nuggets	38c	2,554$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.58	152	34.9%53 W · 99 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d46…171fbacked Nuggets	50c	2,049$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Nuggets	13c	2,017$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.56	84	17.9%15 W · 69 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Grizzlies	61c	2,005$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.92	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Nuggets	1c	1,906$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets	33c	1,885$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.3	290	43.8%127 W · 163 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf496…1094backed Grizzlies	50c	1,836$918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+73.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Grizzlies	55c	1,583$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.39	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Nuggets	37c	1,500$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies	64c	1,322$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.76	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Nuggets	34c	1,155$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.71	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Nuggets	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	213	38%81 W · 132 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Nuggets	1c	1,048$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Grizzlies	66c	1,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	235	48.1%113 W · 122 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…4c5ebacked Grizzlies	69c	813.22$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.78	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies	63c	777.7$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.55	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Nuggets	46c	760.87$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Nuggets	36c	650$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Nuggets	46c	649.97$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.99	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Nuggets	45c	622.01$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.58	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked Nuggets	30c	616$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies	58c	589$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.92	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets	34c	588.24$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	25.7%28 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets	18c	574.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets	28c	574.05$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.32	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Grizzlies	56c	539.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.29	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nuggets	21c	528.14$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.66	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…75aabacked Nuggets	44c	523.88$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Nuggets	20c	490$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-37%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Nuggets	44c	485.71$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.71	122	47.5%58 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Nuggets	40c	400.96$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.38	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets	35c	400$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Nuggets	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	381	32.8%125 W · 256 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets	16c	299.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nuggets	39c	299.73$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.9	228	32%73 W · 155 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Grizzlies	68c	295.75$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.75	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa68…bcccbacked Nuggets	34c	264.71$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c53…f21fbacked Grizzlies	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	164	43.3%71 W · 93 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Nuggets	38c	250$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Nuggets	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	133	41.4%55 W · 78 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Nuggets	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Grizzlies	55c	236.36$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	186	66.1%123 W · 63 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Nuggets	49c	221.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.78	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Nuggets	35c	210.91$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.82	114	28.1%32 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Grizzlies	51c	200.01$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.01	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Nuggets	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-17.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed Nuggets	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Nuggets	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies	64c	199.99$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets	45c	199.96$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.98	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8a…9aeabacked Grizzlies	61c	199.82$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.52	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Grizzlies	55c	180.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.42	236	46.6%110 W · 126 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Nuggets	15c	160$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Grizzlies	63c	159.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.52	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7892…1ea2backed Grizzlies	74c	155.55$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Grizzlies	53c	152.97$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.9	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Grizzlies	36c	151.5$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.21	241	47.3%114 W · 127 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Nuggets	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	156	40.4%63 W · 93 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Nuggets	34c	150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	96	25%24 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Nuggets	45c	149.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.49	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Grizzlies	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-5.8wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Nuggets	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…2307backed Grizzlies	56c	123.21$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2331…6077backed Nuggets	46c	123$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6825…6e74backed Grizzlies	54c	123$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.58	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…bdcfbacked Nuggets	46c	118$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5e7…9042backed Grizzlies	54c	118$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Grizzlies	53c	111.09$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.21	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208d…c510backed Grizzlies	54c	110$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4942…b51abacked Nuggets	46c	110$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d6…f016backed Grizzlies	54c	110$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…03fabacked Nuggets	46c	110$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2258backed Nuggets	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…e7d6backed Grizzlies	54c	105$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…0f46backed Nuggets	46c	105$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…582ebacked Nuggets	46c	104$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d9…be8cbacked Grizzlies	54c	104$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.84	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a46…8258backed Grizzlies	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+44%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Nuggets	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3018…8b64backed Nuggets	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbde…438dbacked Grizzlies	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x961f…c852backed Grizzlies	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ff…beb0backed Nuggets	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x985c…3013backed Grizzlies	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5363…69e8backed Nuggets	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market