NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e64d8156891c5f338a3db255b899f6d456b1f28eb1414112dc26a65a674684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hornets | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.04 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets | 33c | 4,212$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.8 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Hornets | 39c | 3,660$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.22 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Magic | 39c | 3,544$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 50c | 3,528$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.07 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Magic | 70c | 3,356$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.46 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Magic | 67c | 3,129$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.48 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Magic | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 34c | 2,640$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.33 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Hornets | 34c | 2,567$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.43 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Hornets | 34c | 2,416$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 66c | 2,402$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.22 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 34c | 2,050$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06bf…a9ddbacked Magic | 50c | 2,016$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…fbd0backed Hornets | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Magic | 65c | 1,967$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.37 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Hornets | 27c | 1,878$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.62 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Magic | 67c | 1,777$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hornets | 5c | 1,644$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets | 35c | 1,516$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.6 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 42c | 1,435$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Hornets | 33c | 1,359$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…229ebacked Magic | 66c | 1,352$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 36c | 1,296$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.71 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 38c | 1,288$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.74 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Magic | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Magic | 66c | 1,189$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Hornets | 35c | 1,189$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 5c | 1,123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Magic | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Hornets | 5c | 1,034$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…8d38backed Magic | 64c | 1,007$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets | 37c | 1,007$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 66c | 999.96$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.42 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets | 40c | 946.6$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3078backed Hornets | 36c | 938.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…aac6backed Magic | 66c | 901.52$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…4d8cbacked Hornets | 35c | 901.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets | 33c | 898.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Magic | 56c | 886.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.84 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Hornets | 34c | 827.12$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Hornets | 38c | 762.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.26 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…dd21backed Magic | 64c | 693.06$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…4968backed Hornets | 37c | 693.05$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Magic | 62c | 650$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…0e85backed Hornets | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hornets | 47c | 445.93$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Hornets | 41c | 387.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Hornets | 40c | 384.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Magic | 64c | 376.83$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Hornets | 37c | 339.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Magic | 57c | 328.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 66c | 304.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Magic | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Magic | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Magic | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Hornets | 34c | 289.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Hornets | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Hornets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…5186backed Hornets | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed Hornets | 35c | 259.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…62f9backed Magic | 68c | 257.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Magic | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Hornets | 37c | 235$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hornets | 38c | 234.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Magic | 57c | 224$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Hornets | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets | 46c | 214.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Magic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…6f36backed Hornets | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f682backed Hornets | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Magic | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…5db5backed Magic | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Hornets | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Magic | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Magic | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 46c | 191.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hornets | 38c | 177.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Hornets | 57c | 175.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Hornets | 35c | 169.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Hornets | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Hornets | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…ecadbacked Hornets | 35c | 157.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hornets | 33c | 156.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Magic | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc692…188cbacked Magic | 66c | 156.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Hornets | 58c | 155.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Magic | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…442dbacked Magic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Magic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Magic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Hornets | 59c | 137.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…47a2backed Hornets | 34c | 129.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Magic | 60c | 124.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.