Ligue 1 · resolved market
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f34f7039eaa288f218a7a8876a35c2bd87d91fe46d3e5ea5b7a88a1a236e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,806$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 758.56$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 44c | 617.16$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 42c | 476.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 60c | 304.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 242.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 39c | 101.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 100.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 43c | 96.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 91.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…3d82backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 50.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Yes | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 50c | 30.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 50c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774b…afe3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.