Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28bf6b3f4a18f7e34b74ea8eb7801b030054a7075e34db5f9a9dd41354e184e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 2,410$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 77c | 2,150$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 14c | 1,870$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 1,461$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.44 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Yes | 28c | 1,430$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Yes | 44c | 1,019$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 29c | 862$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 30c | 843.51$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed No | 71c | 748.04$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 28c | 701.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 35c | 548.09$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Yes | 42c | 502.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed No | 72c | 430$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 391.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 30c | 334.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 67c | 265.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 5c | 209.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…ee71backed No | 72c | 193.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes | 33c | 168.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed Yes | 30c | 168.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…3cecbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 56c | 152.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 71c | 104.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…30cfbacked No | 72c | 89.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 71c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f194backed No | 75c | 49.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 44.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…e47cbacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-03?Yes won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.