Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e40f9262128e21edba3c6a19b2ef953ad207fe1770f889432a6c176a509efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,001$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.29 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 68c | 1,627$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.6 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 69c | 1,544$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.34 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 70c | 1,307$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.1 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 69c | 1,232$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.88 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 30c | 1,009$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…d5dbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 32c | 991.15$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed No | 70c | 725.27$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 69c | 576.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.69 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked No | 72c | 450.6$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 420.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 18c | 386.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 15c | 313$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes | 32c | 289.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked No | 70c | 275$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 70c | 220.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 9c | 212.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed No | 71c | 192.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 69c | 175$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…75f3backed Yes | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 66c | 121.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…3a54backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…1f32backed No | 68c | 90.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…2881backed Yes | 24c | 64.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…202bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…d53fbacked No | 68c | 60.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaea…2438backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…db6abacked Yes | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…0c53backed No | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…2056backed No | 76c | 52.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed Yes | 30c | 52.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…fbc6backed Yes | 31c | 51.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…a85cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 65c | 47.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…2c0dbacked Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17f…43e5backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e1…3904backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3d…99cebacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 72c | 31.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-03?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-03?Yes won
- Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.