NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7291187dd61c9004a86c4dd70d099039dbb21491f8828e8b91df85541d20f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Nuggets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Wizards | 68c | 53,137$36,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,049.57 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 10,389$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,633.07 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 17c | 9,644$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 14c | 9,102$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,858.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 11c | 8,714$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.45 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 10c | 7,862$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 64c | 7,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 13c | 6,772$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.16 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Wizards | 14c | 6,539$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,623.67 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 14c | 5,271$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.95 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Nuggets | 45c | 5,259$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…fa20backed Nuggets | 40c | 5,243$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 12c | 5,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.93 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 10c | 4,700$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.82 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Wizards | 11c | 4,312$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.34 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Nuggets | 63c | 4,000$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.99 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Nuggets | 11c | 3,736$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.93 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Wizards | 12c | 3,698$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.21 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nuggets | 78c | 3,462$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,085$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.74 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.92 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,573$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,445$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Wizards | 54c | 2,388$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.09 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Nuggets | 65c | 2,386$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,272$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.19 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,199$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.91 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Wizards | 14c | 2,174$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.64 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Nuggets | 71c | 2,140$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.51 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 22c | 2,071$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.95 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wizards | 11c | 1,991$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.36 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 34c | 1,940$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,900$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Wizards | 11c | 1,600$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,554$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Nuggets | 56c | 1,533$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.79 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…1c86backed Wizards | 11c | 1,472$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 44c | 1,449$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.22 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,431$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.55 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,395$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.95 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 47c | 1,304$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.12 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…5d66backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,270$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Wizards | 23c | 1,171$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.13 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,119$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Wizards | 55c | 1,115$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,001$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.77 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 11c | 999.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.87 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Wizards | 12c | 875$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Wizards | 11c | 849.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Wizards | 11c | 840.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Wizards | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…4118backed Nuggets | 19c | 789.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Nuggets | 13c | 771$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…b339backed Wizards | 12c | 750$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…30a2backed Wizards | 12c | 750$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 8c | 745.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Wizards | 68c | 732$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…3620backed Nuggets | 71c | 703.42$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Wizards | 73c | 700$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…c1b6backed Nuggets | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…c109backed Wizards | 58c | 647.68$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…f8eabacked Nuggets | 16c | 613.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Wizards | 11c | 599.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Wizards | 10c | 573$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.97 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nuggets | 46c | 554.87$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.24 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Nuggets | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6964backed Nuggets | 33c | 546.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets | 72c | 520.71$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…4ef1backed Wizards | 11c | 499.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Wizards | 11c | 499.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.95 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 35c | 483.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8a59backed Wizards | 12c | 480$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…fa18backed Wizards | 11c | 465.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +252.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…002ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 458.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Wizards | 11c | 455$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.95 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Nuggets | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Nuggets | 19c | 424.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Nuggets | 79c | 423.62$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…1027backed Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Nuggets | 32c | 411.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Nuggets | 63c | 402.49$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…c273backed Wizards | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Nuggets | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Nuggets | 76c | 396.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Wizards | 11c | 364$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…e488backed Wizards | 12c | 341.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Nuggets | 58c | 340$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Nuggets | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Wizards | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Wizards | 53c | 293.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Wizards | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Nuggets | 46c | 254.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Wizards | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Wizards | 50c | 248.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Wizards | 44c | 235.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.