NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x099d0a7c2a210dd6a6cc8540851eb8cf64fc47f0b0773a22d4a8289f7b5cd4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Timberwolves, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Timberwolves | 26c | 23,277$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.58 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Celtics | 75c | 21,400$16,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.66 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Timberwolves | 17c | 16,780$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Timberwolves | 15c | 9,761$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.19 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Timberwolves | 23c | 9,518$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.47 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Timberwolves | 4c | 8,757$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.84 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 20c | 8,676$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.52 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics | 78c | 6,459$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.33 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Timberwolves | 15c | 4,371$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.59 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 4,196$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.37 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Timberwolves | 5c | 4,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Timberwolves | 17c | 3,547$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 15c | 3,478$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.85 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 3,312$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Timberwolves | 10c | 2,109$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Timberwolves | 26c | 2,061$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.87 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 14c | 1,944$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 1,835$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Celtics | 75c | 1,686$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…4666backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,214$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,063$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Timberwolves | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 28c | 1,000$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.55 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 864.67$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Timberwolves | 30c | 840$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Timberwolves | 5c | 692.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 608.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 76c | 589.68$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.52 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Celtics | 76c | 583.48$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Celtics | 75c | 561.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…162abacked Timberwolves | 10c | 550$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Celtics | 74c | 549.98$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves | 23c | 543.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Timberwolves | 6c | 512.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Celtics | 76c | 420.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Timberwolves | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Celtics | 71c | 397.93$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Celtics | 76c | 365.81$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…8dadbacked Celtics | 76c | 361.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Timberwolves | 26c | 343.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 24c | 331.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…9c51backed Celtics | 74c | 302.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed Timberwolves | 20c | 298.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Timberwolves | 14c | 296.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Celtics | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 75c | 247.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Timberwolves | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Celtics | 75c | 237.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Timberwolves | 8c | 218.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Timberwolves | 13c | 201.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Timberwolves | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Timberwolves | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Timberwolves | 15c | 199.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Timberwolves | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…2214backed Timberwolves | 25c | 164.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Timberwolves | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Celtics | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Timberwolves | 12c | 116.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Celtics | 73c | 113.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Celtics | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 108.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Timberwolves | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…4957backed Timberwolves | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Celtics | 74c | 95.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…1441backed Celtics | 77c | 92.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…aad2backed Timberwolves | 15c | 87.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…766fbacked Celtics | 75c | 86.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Celtics | 78c | 86.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6f56backed Timberwolves | 16c | 79.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Timberwolves | 26c | 78.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…7914backed Timberwolves | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Timberwolves | 14c | 71.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 69.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Celtics | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…a6bdbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Timberwolves | 25c | 63.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Timberwolves | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…5961backed Celtics | 76c | 58.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Timberwolves | 24c | 55.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Timberwolves | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Celtics | 78c | 49.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Celtics | 74c | 47.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Timberwolves | 28c | 46.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…5514backed Celtics | 78c | 45.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Timberwolves | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Celtics | 78c | 41.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Timberwolves | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed Timberwolves | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked Celtics | 78c | 37.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Celtics | 78c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…94d5backed Celtics | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Celtics | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Celtics | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…e821backed Celtics | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…748fbacked Celtics | 77c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.