Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e09b4f830b164833adf1f298576e4f7044011d99d86073859ffd13fe035285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 27c | 13,997$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.76 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Yes | 75c | 7,306$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 22c | 6,357$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.26 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 73c | 5,436$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.65 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…fabfbacked Yes | 80c | 2,448$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 74c | 2,137$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…3312backed Yes | 73c | 2,103$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 75c | 1,658$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.5 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 27c | 1,438$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 72c | 1,408$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 79c | 1,163$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 25c | 1,132$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.46 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,082$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 73c | 1,023$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.31 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 75c | 992.11$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 75c | 911.95$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…2b10backed Yes | 78c | 902.64$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 73c | 866.6$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 23c | 833.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 27c | 661.14$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 21c | 606.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 496.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 74c | 494.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 13c | 462.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 28c | 423.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed No | 12c | 408.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 352.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 26c | 345.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…9f1cbacked Yes | 76c | 333.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 74c | 323.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…cab4backed Yes | 78c | 306.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 21c | 304.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 73c | 295.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 29c | 295.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…7953backed Yes | 74c | 283.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 72c | 276.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 73c | 258.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 75c | 257$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes | 75c | 222.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 27c | 221.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 78c | 214.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 27c | 212.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 73c | 191.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 72c | 177.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 72c | 170.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…8f31backed Yes | 76c | 150.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed No | 9c | 149.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Yes | 73c | 139.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Yes | 72c | 94.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes | 76c | 92.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 75c | 90.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…c3ebbacked No | 26c | 90.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 73c | 90.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…6415backed Yes | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 74c | 81.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…16debacked No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…85c3backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed Yes | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 74c | 66.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…0c82backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 73c | 65.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Yes | 76c | 62.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…b0cabacked No | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 77c | 62.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…2468backed No | 27c | 58.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2a…b13abacked Yes | 72c | 58.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Yes | 74c | 57.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…991cbacked No | 28c | 56.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 76c | 55.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…daecbacked No | 28c | 54.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed No | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…74dabacked No | 27c | 50.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…f4d9backed Yes | 73c | 50.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…525abacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…81e0backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2024-12-15?No won
- Will Chelsea vs. Brentford end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.