TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No27c13,997$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.7618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52e4…1b25backed Yes75c7,306$5,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No22c6,357$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.2679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes73c5,436$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.6539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6e6…fabfbacked Yes80c2,448$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes74c2,137$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.233751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Yes73c2,103$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes75c1,658$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.518740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed No27c1,438$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.712347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes72c1,408$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.172759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9915337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes79c1,163$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.843542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No25c1,132$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4629751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes76c1,082$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9818433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes73c1,023$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.316944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes75c992.11$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.112544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes75c911.95$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Yes78c902.64$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes73c866.6$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.987651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No23c833.61$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1137652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No27c661.14$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5122050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed No21c606.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.284926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No27c496.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes74c494.36$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6223350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No13c462.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.161435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No28c423.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.579943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b8…cc82backed No12c408.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No25c352.58$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8134251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No26c345.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.74742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7c…9f1cbacked Yes76c333.68$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes74c323.85$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.710341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1521…cab4backed Yes78c306.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No21c304.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes73c295.57$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8917945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No29c295.16$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.67967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6afa…7953backed Yes74c283.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.84850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes72c277$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5620447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes72c276.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.112138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes73c258.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.935541.8%23 W · 32 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes75c257$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.824766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes75c222.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes75c222$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No27c221.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8117143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes78c214.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2413336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No27c212.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2946660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes73c191.74$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe763…3d69backed Yes72c177.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-49.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes72c170.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8744…8f31backed Yes76c150.26$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed No9c149.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb868…a94ebacked Yes73c139.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.354742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2929653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.54637%17 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes72c94.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.531931.6%6 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.594845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef9…0ad3backed Yes76c92.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe286…7735backed Yes75c90.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe074…c3ebbacked No26c90.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes73c90.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.419334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed Yes75c85.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes74c81.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28df…16debacked No26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…85c3backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2f…09a9backed No27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204946.9%23 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc67c…9ad5backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed Yes75c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes74c66.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.427256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f39…0c82backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3621…4f82backed Yes73c65.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdadc…15fcbacked Yes76c62.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…b0cabacked No29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2452…4571backed Yes77c62.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.272458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf847…aa05backed Yes73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.641855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20e…2468backed No27c58.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2a…b13abacked Yes72c58.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Yes74c57.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0755…991cbacked No28c56.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ece…cff3backed Yes76c55.28$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.272437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…b909backed Yes73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.796144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7f0…daecbacked No28c54.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7641…0089backed No27c54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes73c53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…a285backed No29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa826…74dabacked No27c50.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08c…f4d9backed Yes73c50.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76eb…525abacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267d…81e0backed Yes73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.