Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373affe36ed3dff655d79dc041ed4f52109b4379f9f587fa6dbcd73121b8cc3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof FURIA Esports, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 15,581$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,270.42 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 14,850$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,795.79 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked FURIA Esports | 63c | 3,374$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.97 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 2,025$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.47 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed paiN Gaming | 38c | 1,461$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.7 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…c116backed FURIA Esports | 68c | 1,021$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 806.73$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.29 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…8fe6backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 462.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.74 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 389.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 384.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 367.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 278.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 260.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 226.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 190.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…13b0backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 31c | 147.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 145.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 127.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed FURIA Esports | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 83.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 81.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 77.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 71.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 67.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 64.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…f65dbacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 60.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 58.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 54.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 54.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked paiN Gaming | 37c | 51.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked paiN Gaming | 35c | 50.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 50.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…6b11backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 50.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked paiN Gaming | 31c | 47.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…ffc9backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 45.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 40.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 38.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked paiN Gaming | 37c | 37.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 34.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…6a3ebacked FURIA Esports | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…5998backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 28.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 25.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…e8e3backed FURIA Esports | 66c | 24.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…85ccbacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…bae2backed FURIA Esports | 66c | 16.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.