Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9a940921c9cfe41a753ce7cf4185623eafa16d72dec08cd205377f3d4286fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 70c | 9,089$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.88 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 29c | 3,986$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.88 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 71c | 2,353$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.83 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 27c | 2,022$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.96 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…71e5backed Over | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 1,561$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.98 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 31c | 1,532$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.25 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Over | 28c | 1,399$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.02 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 70c | 1,239$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.07 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…09f8backed Over | 25c | 928.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 72c | 684.31$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 31c | 667.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.36 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 590.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 67c | 558$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.86 | 1,158 | 49.2%570 W · 588 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 29c | 516.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.39 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 72c | 492.58$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.66 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 30c | 444.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.32 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 31c | 309.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 30c | 305.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over | 29c | 283.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 72c | 275.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 72c | 275.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Under | 72c | 275.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Under | 72c | 275.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.21 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 70c | 269.09$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 29c | 260.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 71c | 240.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Under | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 72c | 173.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 389 | 50.9%198 W · 191 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 72c | 159.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 29c | 157.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Over | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 146$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 72c | 144.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 73c | 138.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 71c | 124.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 72c | 116.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 72c | 112.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 72c | 104.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Under | 52c | 103.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over | 27c | 95.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Under | 71c | 92.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 71c | 83.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 26c | 77.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 37c | 71.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 71c | 70.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 18c | 67.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 71c | 62.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 71c | 62.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 67c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 72c | 56.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 56c | 50.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 73c | 48.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Under | 37c | 45.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 218 | 10.1%22 W · 196 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 44.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Over | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 72c | 38.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -12.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 72c | 30.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Under | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Under | 72c | 28.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1107…70a6backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…3c72backed Over | 61c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabe7…24a0backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 72c | 19.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 72c | 19.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 72c | 17.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 72c | 17.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Under | 72c | 15.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)paiN Gaming won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
- LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.