Earnings · resolved market
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e7592ba207b357c885eb110fd170ccc79dc82f80b366f7a903aff76d140d59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8118…9850backed No | 1c | 12,394$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 63c | 2,449$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.65 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 56c | 1,541$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.85 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9013backed Yes | 39c | 1,505$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…a1efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,300$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +422.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 1,198$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.89 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 42c | 743.07$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…52bbbacked Yes | 19c | 622.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 79c | 599.99$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed Yes | 19c | 589.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 80c | 497.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…e69abacked Yes | 25c | 483.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +293.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed No | 67c | 420.55$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 406.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…cda7backed Yes | 50c | 400.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +11.3wins | +0.42per pick | 51cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 17c | 351.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 45c | 350.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 17c | 306.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…8d9cbacked Yes | 18c | 276.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 276.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 258.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…4682backed No | 60c | 256.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…b294backed No | 73c | 250$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed No | 58c | 227.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 219.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed No | 66c | 207.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 37c | 206.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1807…aef3backed Yes | 19c | 206.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +415.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 205$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 42c | 200.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…aaa1backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…83a4backed Yes | 20c | 197.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 58c | 189.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…b239backed Yes | 27c | 187.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 173.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed Yes | 19c | 167.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…cbb1backed Yes | 20c | 166.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | +22.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed Yes | 27c | 150.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…b8c2backed Yes | 21c | 143.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…227dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +374.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Yes | 39c | 128.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…6994backed No | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…8ce8backed Yes | 31c | 112.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…cd1ebacked Yes | 19c | 104.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…ecf6backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d2…88cbbacked Yes | 31c | 97.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…4d45backed Yes | 72c | 94.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…f557backed Yes | 22c | 91.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +358.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…ebbabacked Yes | 23c | 87.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 85.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…b5c8backed Yes | 31c | 83.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Yes | 35c | 77.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 43c | 75.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 26c | 72.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…c276backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +282.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…261dbacked No | 73c | 68.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 79c | 66.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 23c | 65.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +340.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…d176backed No | 67c | 59.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…9b08backed No | 77c | 56.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…a251backed Yes | 36c | 56.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc026…8e5cbacked Yes | 28c | 54.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…4dcbbacked No | 66c | 53.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…fb5dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0158backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…92ddbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead2…3bcebacked Yes | 31c | 48.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 63c | 48.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 56c | 48.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 33c | 44.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…693cbacked Yes | 29c | 44.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…1de7backed Yes | 24c | 42.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…24b5backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 38c | 36.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…f937backed No | 79c | 34.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 41c | 32.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…efd6backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…d7f9backed No | 79c | 30.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 65c | 29.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.