TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SK Gamingof Natus Vincere, SK Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58b6…eaafbacked SK Gaming44c6,242$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb92…af8fbacked Natus Vincere56c4,771$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec68…6ac6backed SK Gaming43c4,717$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d3…5a11backed Natus Vincere57c4,717$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…8809backed Natus Vincere56c4,573$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed SK Gaming43c3,361$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.0296250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadcf…559fbacked SK Gaming44c3,102$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked SK Gaming42c2,763$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.458444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Natus Vincere57c2,200$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24437641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked SK Gaming44c1,674$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.470456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8556556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed SK Gaming48c1,163$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.9150749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed SK Gaming44c1,137$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.138852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere58c1,083$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62833143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed SK Gaming43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2712839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere57c996.43$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56319731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed SK Gaming43c910.46$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.561,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Natus Vincere56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50412454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Natus Vincere56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Natus Vincere51c888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.885653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked SK Gaming45c773.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8514848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Natus Vincere57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked SK Gaming42c597.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.831,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Natus Vincere57c507.85$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0841749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Natus Vincere58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902025%5 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SK Gaming48c459.17$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.692,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked SK Gaming43c400$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23064749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed SK Gaming44c391.41$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Natus Vincere63c375.47$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.24729.8%14 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Natus Vincere54c362.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8433857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Natus Vincere58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008758.6%51 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed SK Gaming71c306.12$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.771464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked SK Gaming35c303.06$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5678050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Natus Vincere52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Natus Vincere58c250.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.184055%22 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Natus Vincere65c244.16$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Natus Vincere57c224$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6821848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Natus Vincere58c200.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed Natus Vincere58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Gaming43c196.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.291,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed SK Gaming44c196.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8196054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Natus Vincere56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Natus Vincere57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032650.3%164 W · 162 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Natus Vincere58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Natus Vincere57c157.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9064435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked SK Gaming55c157.82$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a2…920cbacked Natus Vincere65c154.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e68…ee87backed SK Gaming49c135.93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3210650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed SK Gaming42c135.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.471,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x647c…a772backed SK Gaming55c129.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Natus Vincere52c116.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7718139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Natus Vincere57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5741544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed SK Gaming49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+136.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Natus Vincere57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.344738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked Natus Vincere56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Natus Vincere58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere57c73.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Natus Vincere58c72.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked SK Gaming43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Natus Vincere57c62.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.519538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed SK Gaming41c62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5842124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed SK Gaming43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed SK Gaming61c58.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.665646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc539…ca4ebacked Natus Vincere64c54.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed SK Gaming43c53.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere58c49.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5165063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Natus Vincere56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked SK Gaming46c43.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6149346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Natus Vincere58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed SK Gaming43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.828559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere55c37.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7860538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked SK Gaming45c37.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7884360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Natus Vincere58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020463.2%129 W · 75 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed SK Gaming45c33.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5821546%99 W · 116 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed SK Gaming35c30.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5319351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Natus Vincere56c28.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.782281.8%18 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+56.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Natus Vincere58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Natus Vincere53c24.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1822955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbee7…dc3abacked Natus Vincere57c21.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.373050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Natus Vincere59c20.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9927548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Natus Vincere57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.