Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc6dcd80950ab9d28dceca91475efbb37c447b0f7700b9d976664e02d4bc88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Under | 47c | 1,400$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 48c | 758$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Over | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 62c | 514.4$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 39c | 507.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 47c | 448.66$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 61c | 381.47$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 49c | 365.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 37c | 364.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Over | 40c | 197.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 186.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 69c | 162$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 779 | 49.9%389 W · 390 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 60c | 116.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Over | 47c | 92.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 38c | 40.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 25.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 62c | 23.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Under | 63c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 69c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?SK Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group StageNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.