Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe970dc9e1d657730cbed4c0bcf5fd8df3ea01d36f443b17f5fa3d791361b2deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over | 54c | 15,199$8,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.7 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 46c | 4,980$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.71 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 46c | 3,950$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.77 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 3,453$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.67 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 46c | 1,938$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.51 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 45c | 1,761$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.94 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 46c | 1,619$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.52 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 46c | 1,414$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.29 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 46c | 640.31$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 44c | 572.52$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 56c | 531$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 45c | 424.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 56c | 385.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 46c | 351.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 320.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 42c | 225.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 44c | 156.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 46c | 147.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 46c | 98.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 98.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…98dbbacked Under | 46c | 89.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Under | 44c | 55.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Over | 56c | 29.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?SK Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group StageNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSK Gaming won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.