South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c04f77f7afdb8ca593bbafec8f55f9a301ccb2a0f815602bd72aa32217f0fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 778.05$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 10c | 724.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 56c | 646.62$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 4c | 311.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 249.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 205.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 9c | 129.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 13c | 122.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 113.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 113.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 27c | 75.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 58c | 70.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 66.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 23c | 64.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked No | 26c | 42.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 57c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…b0aebacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 57c | 17.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.