TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17ea…c5e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2475%18 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+74.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$16.51
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$8.44
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$16.33
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$7.56
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$22.59
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Canada to score first vs. Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Linfield FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$12.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.