Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8abb42fc27a8e3e8321ec73c3ce20d0612220616caa9d587bb165ec25fb185b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 21c | 4,860$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.86 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 79c | 3,814$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 19c | 2,981$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 21c | 2,881$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 20c | 1,696$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 21c | 1,327$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 79c | 1,123$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.42 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 17c | 925.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 79c | 858$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 20c | 763.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 22c | 659.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 536.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 11c | 529.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 27c | 375.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 78c | 318.47$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 74c | 318.47$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +213.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 80c | 181.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 73c | 178.77$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 21c | 132.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…d955backed Yes | 78c | 129.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 20c | 122.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 21c | 116.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 11c | 102.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 77c | 96.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Yes | 78c | 96.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 12c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 20c | 92.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 79c | 89.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 21c | 74.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 22c | 68.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…b224backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…b473backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 21c | 59.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 22c | 55.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…0e19backed Yes | 80c | 51.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…474cbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…a105backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 79c | 37.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 73c | 33.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 79c | 31.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…7b9fbacked Yes | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…082ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 73c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…4860backed Yes | 80c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-08-07?No won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.