Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to score first vs. Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x262c6579a5a249e60b8fda2eb173740d5f8f1c7df2f25eca14b1efdc3d093173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 78c | 5,001$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.69 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 2,532$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.57 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 23c | 1,208$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 22c | 1,189$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 22c | 1,167$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 78c | 734.01$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 732.55$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 535.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 26c | 524$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 23c | 501.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 79c | 471$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 23c | 400.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 77c | 301.01$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 76c | 301$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 24c | 299.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 22c | 237$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 173.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 152.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…3b47backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 18c | 127.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 21c | 107.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 22c | 102.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 79c | 88.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 23c | 83.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 72c | 78.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 68.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…066abacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…b368backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…7f75backed Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…3beabacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Yes | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…687abacked Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…db72backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to score first vs. Qatar?this page
- Canada vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first?No won
- Qatar to score first vs. Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.