Fifa International · resolved market
Qatar to score first vs. Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc5722a92028b36bd731f2c1b8c9b8a8543db28952ff6afc0aa65fd6b54ca06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 1,190$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 19c | 925.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 20c | 493.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 80c | 430.61$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes | 19c | 410.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 19c | 410$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 79c | 394.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 346.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 18c | 251.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc21…c04fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 249.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 20c | 207.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 19c | 193.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 20c | 192.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…219cbacked Yes | 19c | 174.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…bec8backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c9…986bbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6939…663bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…9ca3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…f873backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 56.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…26eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…8229backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 36.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar to score first vs. Canada?this page
- Canada to score first vs. Qatar?Yes won
- Canada vs. Qatar: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.