Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92765da6fdf754c091efe339dcc7bddc2bcc20a81da939855ae7d059c18aac2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 7,382$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.56 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 6,440$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 4,844$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.8 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 3,093$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.67 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 27c | 2,921$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.54 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 29c | 2,244$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.11 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 1,514$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.06 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 1,058$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 71c | 823$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.33 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 58c | 542.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 71c | 527.68$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 488.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.62 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 71c | 394$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 26c | 358.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 27c | 300.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 31c | 275.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.37 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 227$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 63c | 219.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 214$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 49c | 139.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 59c | 117.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 35c | 111.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 12c | 109.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 51c | 109.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed No | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 20c | 102.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 89.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 52c | 76.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 71c | 70.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 30c | 69.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 73c | 68.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 28c | 57.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 66c | 44.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 71c | 42.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…b518backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 62c | 39.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 26c | 39.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 35.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Yes | 70c | 35.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 40c | 34.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…83cfbacked Yes | 74c | 33.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 33c | 33.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed No | 47c | 30.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 69c | 29.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 74c | 28.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…eeb2backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 46c | 24.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 59c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Yes | 71c | 15.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Yes | 75c | 15.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.