South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb53613a9251b182c09f4d08f49846d2d6bc6fe377ec0560a4ad95936f73a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 1,625$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 995.8$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 861.45$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 18c | 486.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 53c | 468.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 377.15$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 315.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 298.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 48c | 218.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 216.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1036backed Yes | 45c | 174.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 51c | 159.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 152.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 51c | 148.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 48c | 127.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 49c | 104.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 100.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 50c | 95.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked No | 47c | 91.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 49c | 85.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 64.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 63.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 47c | 51.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…441fbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 46.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…febdbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 50c | 40.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed No | 47c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed Yes | 51c | 30.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 48c | 29.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…1e6bbacked Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 49c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…85b5backed Yes | 68c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Palestino end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.