Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1324f3a3f54bca925ad4df37b65ac3adbbac0eda3d6e1f023aa0857a1c427b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 12,602$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 76c | 6,868$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.58 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed Yes | 77c | 4,545$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 4,326$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.52 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 80c | 2,188$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked No | 21c | 1,899$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 19c | 1,487$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…fed2backed No | 21c | 1,143$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 78c | 931.29$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 19c | 915.17$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 80c | 727$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 21c | 550.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 77c | 510.78$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Yes | 80c | 435.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 354.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 20c | 322.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…98b7backed Yes | 80c | 271.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…3b25backed Yes | 77c | 227.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 20c | 212$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 79c | 181.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 78c | 154.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 78c | 142.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 20c | 134.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…b665backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 79c | 127.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…1a85backed Yes | 79c | 121.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…92e9backed Yes | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 23c | 104.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 77c | 104.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 24c | 87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 24c | 74.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 21c | 74.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 79c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 81.7%49 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Yes | 79c | 62.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…2528backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 24c | 59.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 22c | 57.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 24c | 51.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 80c | 37.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…38efbacked Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 79c | 33.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Yes | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 78cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 80c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…c5e3backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…a8f6backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a554backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…0f12backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6897backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.