South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4c9c2749777a56f2e12d2dc13aebc9ccd4b0ee286be5c9de97978cdd5e13ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9dc…94f8backed No | 57c | 4,040$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 49c | 4,015$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,681$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,372$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 1,086$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.05 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…2d32backed Yes | 51c | 676.47$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 393.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked No | 51c | 293.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 286.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 52c | 228.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 54c | 223.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…5dffbacked Yes | 17c | 221.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 200.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 14c | 163.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Yes | 64c | 156.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 46c | 139.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 54c | 104.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 98.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 53c | 66.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes | 55c | 65.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 49c | 62.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…00afbacked No | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 31.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked No | 40c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.