South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20e17b3c99796d51601b728454445978c443585e3b776e03683c0057788fa36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 43c | 84,598$36,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,080.84 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 51,964$29,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,344.46 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 14,300$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 6,116$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.78 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 18c | 4,501$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.06 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 3,784$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Under | 74c | 3,310$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 3,106$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.18 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 67c | 2,937$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 58c | 550.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 480$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 16c | 460.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 36c | 442.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 57c | 422.95$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 403.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 24c | 285.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 58c | 174.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 152.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 58c | 145.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Under | 58c | 133.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 72c | 120.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Under | 58c | 113.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 29c | 103.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 58c | 85.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 55.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 71c | 49.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Over | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…af8fbacked Over | 25c | 45.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 27c | 42.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…a560backed Under | 57c | 38.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 59c | 37.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 57c | 31.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 64c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Under | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 57c | 25.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 59c | 22.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 71c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 72c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.