TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over44c129,897$57,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,326.5529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c67,587$37,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,738.381,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c16,368$9,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,202.081,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c12,235$6,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.595,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5005050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over45c9,122$4,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,104.9714443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under54c8,588$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.4610741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c8,352$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.994339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under55c4,423$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.8717049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under56c2,840$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.625543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under55c2,815$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.566357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.277244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over32c2,614$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.797125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650e…6d89backed Over45c2,519$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over44c2,330$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under45c2,214$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2141353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c2,191$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.413,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c2,099$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.981,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under55c1,802$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over44c1,622$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.784165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under55c1,349$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.377055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Under54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2f…dff2backed Under50c893.52$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005525.5%14 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over51c599$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.438026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.566555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under57c543.79$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under54c500$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2324776.6%36 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under61c492.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under56c390$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.619659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c370.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under54c325$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.528851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under54c325$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.523056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under54c310.34$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under54c299.26$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0520138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over51c296.08$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over44c285.87$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0324665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under36c278.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1122049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under56c228.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.524956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under54c219.31$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.361,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c208.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9216559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c195$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014161%86 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c174.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c166.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.171,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over49c157.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Under57c147.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.537748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under36c139.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under54c125$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under56c118.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1418859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under49c113.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.667748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.117061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7075…0a8dbacked Over49c109.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under54c109$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4322853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over51c104.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.121,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.99447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under56c77.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.512962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.524257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.518959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over62c74.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over67c73.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Under37c72.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4319955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x137f…6689backed Under56c64.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.532133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Under58c62.32$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x636d…0440backed Over56c62.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3814844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under54c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5220360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under54c59.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0419…f4f3backed Under51c56.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked Under48c56.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.092321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f6f…0cf2backed Under46c55.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1920958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under55c49.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.394362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x923a…e723backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over52c46.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6418140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd06…ba7bbacked Over64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1124253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under54c37.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.