South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9557d6a547cba58e564b46c507d8387de9717b716974c571ceacbd6f9b8b0202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Bolívarof Club Bolívar, Fluminense FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Club Bolívar | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fluminense FC | 59c | 6,132$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.32 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Club Bolívar | 29c | 3,444$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Club Bolívar | 49c | 2,102$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Fluminense FC | 75c | 1,575$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Fluminense FC | 2c | 1,518$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 907.94$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 542.66$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.76 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Fluminense FC | 73c | 433.54$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.48 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fluminense FC | 72c | 417.08$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Club Bolívar | 49c | 404.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Fluminense FC | 74c | 353$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Club Bolívar | 30c | 329.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 325$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 325$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Club Bolívar | 29c | 305.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Fluminense FC | 70c | 281.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 246$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 225$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Club Bolívar | 27c | 225$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 213.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Club Bolívar | 28c | 200.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Bolívar | 40c | 177$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Club Bolívar | 27c | 166$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 146$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Fluminense FC | 61c | 144.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluminense FC | 62c | 125.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Fluminense FC | 75c | 114.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Fluminense FC | 72c | 110$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Club Bolívar | 44c | 92.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 69.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Fluminense FC | 71c | 62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 54.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Club Bolívar | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Fluminense FC | 76c | 51.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Club Bolívar | 24c | 50.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Club Bolívar | 40c | 46.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 43.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed Club Bolívar | 27c | 41.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 40.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…8291backed Club Bolívar | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Fluminense FC | 60c | 36.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Club Bolívar | 41c | 33.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Fluminense FC | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Fluminense FC | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Club Bolívar | 39c | 31.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Fluminense FC | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Fluminense FC | 51c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 28.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Fluminense FC | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Fluminense FC | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Fluminense FC | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Club Bolívar | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Fluminense FC | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Fluminense FC | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Fluminense FC | 63c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Fluminense FC | 74c | 15.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Fluminense FC | 78c | 14.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)this page
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.